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- 民主党会赢得德克萨斯州州长选举，而共和党会赢得德克萨斯州参议院选举吗？<1¢<1%
Both the Texas governor and U.S. Senate races remain highly competitive heading into early voting, with recent October polls showing Republican Greg Abbott holding a narrow edge over Democrat Gina Hinojosa while the open Senate contest between Republican Ken Paxton and Democrat James Talarico sits essentially tied or within the margin of error. These results, combined with historical patterns of split-ticket voting in the state and voter priorities centered on the economy and immigration, sustain elevated trader probabilities for divided outcomes or less common resolutions captured under "Other." Incumbency advantages for Abbott, Paxton's primary victory over John Cornyn, and Talarico's consistent polling gains have kept the implied probabilities for full sweeps or the reverse split tightly bunched, with upcoming turnout and any final-week shifts in undecided voters the main variables that could widen gaps before November 3.
规则
本市场将根据德克萨斯州目前定于 2026年11月3日 举行的州长和美国联邦参议院普选结果进行结算。 如果候选人在选票上标注的党派归属是某个政党，或者该候选人是该党提名的人选，则视为代表该党参选。以独立候选人身份参选的候选人，无论其与该政党有任何关联，都不纳入“民主党”或“共和党”选项。 如果截至 2027年3月31日 仍无法确定这些选举的结果，或独立候选人或第三党候选人赢得其中一场选举，本市场将以“其他”结算。 本市场的结算依据为美联社、Fox News和NBC。待三个来源均对相关的参议院和州长选举结果作出明确判定后，本市场即进行结算。如果三个来源未能就本市场相关选举结果的判定达成共识，本市场将依据官方认证结果结算。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。