- SpaceX Starship 会在 2026年12月31日 前从佛罗里达州发射吗？22¢22%
- SpaceX Starship 会在 2027年6月30日 前从佛罗里达州发射吗？90¢90%
SpaceX has advanced LC-39A at Kennedy Space Center to acceptance testing, completing deluge system checks, umbilical actuation, and tower outfitting, positioning the historic pad for Starship-Super Heavy operations. The return of the transport barge to Cape Canaveral on October 14 signals potential early hardware delivery, while SpaceX has confirmed at least one more Starbase test flight before any Florida attempt, tying the debut to Flight 16 or later. FAA supplemental environmental review for SLC-37 concluded public scoping in mid-October, supporting plans for high launch cadence, though no vehicles have arrived in Florida and unconfirmed planning targets like mid-December remain fluid amid typical program slips. Next catalysts include Flight 15 timing and first ship or booster transport.
规则
如果 SpaceX Starship 在所列日期 23:59 ET 前从佛罗里达州的发射台成功发射，本市场将判定为“是”。否则，该市场将判定为“否”。 任何发射的结果都将通过查看 SpaceX 提供的官方视频 (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX)，以及在必要时查看其他视频源和/或书面报告来佐证。 发射后发生的任何异常（例如爆炸）都不会影响结果。Starship 飞行器如有任何更名，都不会影响结果。 本市场的判定依据将是 SpaceX 的官方信息；不过，也会参考可信报道形成的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。