- SpaceX IPO：2026 年会正式纳入 S&P 500 吗？4¢4%
- SpaceX 会在 2027年3月31日 前正式纳入 S&P 500 吗？50¢50%
SpaceX’s June 2026 Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX at a $1.77 trillion valuation triggered immediate fast-track eligibility for the Nasdaq-100 but left it ineligible for the S&P 500. S&P Dow Jones Indices retained its profitability screen and 12-month seasoning requirement, and the company posted a $4.94 billion GAAP loss in 2025 with continued operating shortfalls into 2026. These structural barriers, confirmed in June committee guidance, underpin the 98% market-implied probability against 2026 inclusion. While lock-up releases and quarterly results could pressure shares, realistic tail risks remain limited to an unexpected profitability inflection or discretionary rule adjustment by year-end.
规则
标普500指数每季度在3月、6月、9月和12月的第三个星期五进行成分调整。 如果S&P Global Inc.在2027年3月31日 23:59 ET之前宣布SpaceX将被纳入标普500指数，本市场将判定为“是”。否则，此市场将以“否”结算。 S&P发布的公告即符合判定为“是”的条件，无论所提及的公司是否已在判定日期前实际纳入标普500指数。 主要判定依据为S&P Global Inc.发布的官方公告（https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release）。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。