South Korea’s annual inflation rate for 2026 is trading with 2.7-2.9% as the narrow leader at 41.8% implied probability, just ahead of 3.0%+ at 32.6%, reflecting uncertainty over whether persistent pressures will push the full-year average higher. October CPI eased to 2.8% year-on-year from 2.9% in September, with the January-October cumulative at 2.7%, while core inflation held steady at 2.8% amid elevated prices for services, durables, and processed foods. The Bank of Korea projects November readings to remain in the high-2% range due to global oil price volatility tied to Middle East developments and ongoing cost-pass-through plus demand-pull effects. Institutional forecasts cluster near 2.7%, though upside risks from energy imports and core trends keep the 3.0%+ outcome competitive ahead of December data.
本市场涉及韩国数据与统计部(MODS)公布的韩国消费者价格变动,统计期间截至2026年12月(期间月数:12)。 本市场将根据截至2026年12月的期间内韩国消费者价格指数(CPI)的百分比变化进行结算(期间月数:12;12月CPI与上一年同月相比的百分比变化),以MODS发布的指定月份月度消费者价格调查报告为准。 本市场的结算来源为MODS发布的2026年12月月度消费者价格指数报告,目前计划于2026年12月31日发布。上述数据发布后,该市场即会结算。如果指定月份的数据未能在下个月数据计划发布的日期前发布,本市场将根据最近一个可获得月份的数据进行结算。 相关报告发布后可在此处获取:https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01 注意:本市场的结算来源所报告的韩国消费者价格指数百分比变化仅精确到小数点后一位(例如,2.0%)。因此,结算本市场时将采用这一精度。完整发布时间表请见:https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
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