- 民主党会赢得众议院中属于 PA-07 的席位吗？87¢87%
- 共和党会赢得 PA-07 的众议院席位吗？12¢12%
Democrat Bob Brooks holds an 87% implied probability in this Pennsylvania swing district because forecasters including the Cook Political Report shifted the race to Lean Democratic in mid-to-late October amid consistent polling leads and a national environment favoring the opposition party. Brooks, the Pennsylvania Professional Fire Fighters Association president endorsed by Governor Josh Shapiro, leads incumbent Ryan Mackenzie by margins such as 45-40% in the September Franklin & Marshall poll, driven by voter concerns over the economy and inflation linked to federal policies. Mackenzie’s recent television ads alleging business compliance issues prompted Brooks to withdraw from the only scheduled debate, further highlighting the race’s negative tone without altering the underlying polling or rating trajectory ahead of the November 3 election.
规则
本市场将根据在 2026 年中期选举中赢得美国众议院 PA-07 国会选区席位的候选人所属政党进行结算。中期选举将于 2026年11月3日 举行。 候选人的党派归属将根据其在选票上注明或可通过其他方式确认的党派身份确定，时间点为本市场的判定来源最终确认2026年所有众议院选举结果之时。如果候选人的选票上未注明其属于民主党或共和党，则将在本市场的判定来源最终确认所有众议院选举结果之时，根据候选人最近一次表示有意与之组成党团的政党，将其视为该两党之一的成员。 本市场将根据可信报道所形成的共识所表明的选举结果进行结算。如存在歧义，本市场将仅依据美国政府公布的官方结果进行判定，具体以Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/)公布的结果为准。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。