MrBeast’s announcement of a major Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4–tied video, positioned as one of his biggest COD releases ever, has driven the market’s strong consensus toward the 92–96M bracket for day-2 views at 57.5% implied probability. Traders are pricing in the video’s expected launch momentum from the game’s simultaneous release, MrBeast’s established pattern of sustained early engagement on high-profile challenges, and his recent record 70M-plus first-day performance on the grocery-store video. The 88–92M range at 32% reflects the possibility of slightly slower second-day growth after an initial surge, while lower and higher brackets remain thinly traded. The video’s release tomorrow and the first chart-update windows will serve as immediate catalysts for any momentum shifts.
该市场将根据 MrBeast 最新发布的 YouTube 视频在发布后的前 48 小时内获得的观看次数进行结算。本市场可能要等到 48 小时结束后才会结算,无论是否更早达到门槛。 如果公布的数值恰好处于两个区间之间,本市场将按较高的区间结算。 本市场的结算依据是 MrBeast 的 YouTube 频道(https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast),具体为所述视频的“观看次数”计数器。 如果在指定时长结束时无法获取结算来源,本市场将根据指定时长结束前可获取的最新观看次数进行结算。 注意:该市场仅涉及 MrBeast 的视频“Lose 150 Lbs Together, Win $250,000”(见:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RE3_PGwDwhw)。
机器翻译。如有争议,以原文为准。