- Bola Tinubu会赢得2027年尼日利亚总统选举吗？70¢
- Peter Obi会赢得2027年尼日利亚总统选举吗？24¢
- Omoyele Sowore会赢得2027年尼日利亚总统选举吗？<1¢
- Rabiu Kwankwaso会赢得2027年尼日利亚总统选举吗？<1¢
- Rotimi Amaechi会赢得2027年尼日利亚总统选举吗？<1¢
Bola Tinubu holds the leading position in trader consensus for the January 2027 Nigerian presidential election due to incumbency advantages, including the All Progressives Congress control of approximately 31 states, a network of governors, and established regional alliances, particularly in the South-West. Opposition fragmentation has reinforced this positioning, as attempts to form a unified front involving Peter Obi of the Nigeria Democratic Congress and Atiku Abubakar of the African Democratic Congress collapsed amid internal disputes and separate party tickets, raising the prospect of a divided anti-incumbent vote similar to 2023 dynamics. Recent developments, including defections to the APC and mixed voter sentiment surveys showing economic and security concerns, have not yet shifted the market's assessment of Tinubu's organizational edge ahead of the formal campaign period.
规则
尼日利亚总统选举定于 2027年1月16日 举行。 本市场将根据名单中赢得2027年尼日利亚总统选举的候选人进行结算。 本市场包含任何可能举行的第二轮投票。 如果截至2027年10月31日 23:59 ET结果仍未得到明确确认，本市场将结算为“其他”。 本市场将根据此次选举的结果进行结算，结果以可信报道形成的共识为准。如有歧义，本市场将仅根据尼日利亚政府来源公布的官方结果进行结算，其中包括独立国家选举委员会（https://www.inecnigeria.org/）。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。