- 共和党会赢得 NC-13 的众议院席位吗？87¢
- 民主党会赢得众议院中属于 NC-13 的席位吗？13¢
Brad Knott holds a strong position as the Republican incumbent in North Carolina’s 13th congressional district, which carries an R+8 Partisan Voter Index and delivered double-digit Republican margins in recent presidential elections. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the district’s baseline and Knott’s primary performance. Paul Barringer secured the Democratic nomination but faces structural headwinds despite raising comparable funds and drawing DCCC attention to the contest in early October. No public polls have emerged to challenge the consensus, and the November 3 general election timeline leaves limited room for late shifts absent major developments. Traders’ implied probabilities align closely with these fundamentals and historical patterns for similar districts.
规则
本市场将根据在 2026 年中期选举中赢得美国众议院 NC-13 国会选区席位的候选人所属政党进行结算。中期选举将于 2026年11月3日 举行。 候选人的政党归属，将以该候选人在本市场的结算信息来源明确判定 2026 年所有众议院选举结果时，在选票上列明或以其他方式可确认的政党隶属关系为准。如果候选人的选票上未注明其属于民主党或共和党，则将在本市场的判定来源最终确认所有众议院选举结果之时，根据候选人最近一次表示有意与之组成党团的政党，将其视为该两党之一的成员。 本市场将根据可信报道所形成的共识所表明的选举结果进行结算。如存在歧义，本市场将仅依据美国政府公布的官方结果进行判定，具体以Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/)公布的结果为准。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。