Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez leads the Nayarit gubernatorial market at 75.3% after Morena designated her state coordinator for the 2027 election in late September 2026, applying gender-parity criteria following internal surveys. She formalized her switch from the PVEM to Morena in October and secured early polling leads, including 46.7% in a mid-October Mitofsky survey as the Morena-PT-PVEM option. Other listed aspirants, including Héctor Santana García, Geraldine Ponce Méndez, Pavel Jarero Velázquez, and lower-probability names such as Manuel Cota Jiménez or Ivideliza Reyes Hernández, trail due to the party’s consolidation around her profile ahead of the June 2027 vote. Trader pricing reflects this party-structure advantage and limited recent shifts in the officialist coalition.
纳亚里特州州长选举目前定于 2027年6月6日 举行。 本市场将根据所列候选人中赢得2027年纳亚里特州州长选举的人选进行结算。任何临时或代理知事均不符合资格。 如果截至 2027年12月31日 23:59 ET 仍无法确定结果,本市场将以“其他”结算。 本市场将根据此次选举的结果进行结算,结果以可信报道形成的共识为准。如有歧义,本市场将仅根据纳亚里特州和墨西哥政府来源公布的官方结果进行结算,包括纳亚里特州选举委员会和墨西哥国家选举委员会公布的结果。
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