Recent polls for Michoacán’s June 2027 gubernatorial election show a tight contest among Morena’s Carlos Torres Piña, independent Grecia Quiroz of the Movimiento del Sombrero, and PAN’s Alfonso Martínez Alcázar, with leads often inside margins of error and undecided voters near 25 percent. Torres Piña benefits from the party’s statewide organization and incumbency, while Quiroz draws support as widow of assassinated Uruapan mayor Carlos Manzo and as a non-partisan option. Fragmented opposition coalitions and early-stage candidate positioning keep probabilities fluid. Security conditions, alliance negotiations, and further surveys through late 2026 could widen or narrow gaps before primaries and the official campaign begin. Trader pricing mirrors these polling fluctuations and structural uncertainties.
目前计划于 2027年6月6日 在 Michoacán 举行州长选举。 本市场将根据所列候选人中谁赢得 2027 年 Michoacán 州长选举来结算。任何临时或代理知事均不符合资格。 如果截至 2027年12月31日 23:59 ET 仍无法确定结果,本市场将以“其他”结算。 本市场将根据此次选举的结果进行结算,结果以可信报道形成的共识为准。如有歧义,本市场将仅依据 Michoacán 和墨西哥政府来源公布的官方结果结算,包括 Michoacán 选举研究所和墨西哥国家选举研究所的结果。
机器翻译。如有争议,以原文为准。