- KOSPI 会在 2028 年前创下历史新高吗？25¢25%
The 75.5% probability assigned to “No” on a new KOSPI all-time high before 2028 reflects the index’s steep correction from its June 2026 peak of 9,114.55 to levels near 5,400 in early November. Sharp foreign outflows, concentrated in semiconductor names, followed U.S. midterm results that raised prospects for tighter scrutiny of AI data-center expansion and capex. Analysts have trimmed 2027 targets to the 7,000–8,000 range amid slower expected EPS growth, a firmer won, and lingering uncertainty over global monetary policy. Reaching a fresh record within roughly 14 months would require a sustained rally exceeding 65% from current prices, a threshold markets view as improbable given the recent volatility and external headwinds.
规则
如果 KOSPI（韩国综合股价指数）在本市场创建至 2027年12月31日 23:59 KST 期间的任何时点，录得高于 9,385.59 的盘中或收盘指数值——该值是 Korea Exchange 公布的官方盘中历史最高点，于 2026年6月19日 创下——则本市场判定为“是”。否则，本市场将以“否”结算。 仅考虑 Korea Exchange 常规交易时段内记录的指数值。期货、ETF、期权或其他衍生工具所隐含的数值不符合条件。 指数值将严格按照公布的数值使用，不作四舍五入。 本市场判定的主要来源为 Yahoo Finance（https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/）；但也可采用可信报道形成的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。