- 统一俄罗斯党将在下一届俄罗斯国家杜马选举中赢得340到354个席位吗？100¢100%
- 在下届俄罗斯国家杜马选举中，统一俄罗斯党会获得少于280个席位吗？0¢0%
- 统一俄罗斯党将在下一届俄罗斯国家杜马会议选举中获得355个或更多席位吗？0¢0%
- 统一俄罗斯党将在下一届俄罗斯国家杜马选举中赢得325到339个席位吗？0¢0%
- 统一俄罗斯党将在下届俄罗斯国家杜马选举中赢得280至294个席位吗？0¢0%
- 在下届俄罗斯国家杜马选举中，统一俄罗斯党是否会赢得310到324个席位？0¢0%
- 统一俄罗斯党将在下一届俄罗斯国家杜马选举中赢得295到309个席位吗？0¢0%
United Russia’s strong performance in the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma elections underpins trader consensus around 340–354 seats. The party captured roughly 58 percent of the party-list vote and prevailed in the large majority of single-mandate districts, producing a projected constitutional majority near its prior record of 343 seats. Official preliminary counts place the total at 349–355, with final certification by the Central Election Commission still pending. Minor revisions from remaining protocols or single-district recounts could shift the precise figure within or just outside the 340–354 range, though systemic factors such as the exclusion of non-systemic opposition and wartime voting arrangements have limited scope for larger swings.
规则
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.