10月14日巴黎气温最高?
天气法国每日温度巴黎最高温度
开始时间
2026-10-12
结束时间
2026-10-14
24小时成交量
$28K
总成交量
$46K
  • 10月14日巴黎的最高气温会达到14°C或以下吗?<1¢
  • 10月14日巴黎的最高气温会是15°C吗?<1¢
  • 10月14日巴黎的最高气温会是16°C吗?<1¢
  • 10月14日巴黎的最高气温会达到17°C吗?<1¢
  • 10月14日巴黎的最高气温会是18°C吗?<1¢
  • 10月14日巴黎的最高气温会是19°C吗?3¢
  • 10月14日巴黎的最高气温会是20°C吗?46¢
  • 10月14日巴黎的最高气温会是21°C吗?50¢
  • 10月14日巴黎的最高气温会是22°C吗?3¢
  • 10月14日巴黎的最高气温会是23°C吗?<1¢
  • 10月14日巴黎的最高气温会达到24°C或更高吗?<1¢

Current forecasts from multiple models point to an afternoon high in Paris of 20–21°C under a strong anticyclone, with light southerly flow, partial clearing after morning fog, and minimal cloud cover limiting further warming. This places the market’s near-even split between 20°C (50.5%) and 21°C (44.0%) in line with the narrow uncertainty range typical of late-day observations versus model guidance. October climatology shows average maxima near 17°C, so today’s elevated readings reflect the persistent high-pressure setup rather than seasonal norms. Final resolution will hinge on official Météo-France or station readings once the diurnal peak passes.

规则

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

10月14日巴黎气温最高?

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