- Flávio Bolsonaro 会在 2026年11月30日 前返回巴西吗？3¢3%
- Flávio Bolsonaro 会在 2026年12月31日 前返回巴西吗？10¢10%
- Flávio Bolsonaro 会在 2027年3月31日 前返回巴西吗？14¢14%
Flávio Bolsonaro departed Brazil for the United States on October 28, 2026, hours after a Supreme Federal Court order required him to surrender his passports and remain in the country amid ongoing money-laundering and corruption investigations tied to online gambling and foreign transfers. The move followed his narrow presidential runoff loss to incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and defied the directive from Justice Alexandre de Moraes, prompting federal police to cancel his travel documents. He traveled via Argentina and Ecuador with family members before landing in Miami, where the Trump administration confirmed it would issue entry visas. Allies indicated consideration of political asylum, while Brazilian authorities have no record of his exit and Lula's party has sought an arrest warrant and Interpol notice. His Senate term ends in February 2027, after which he would lose special jurisdiction protections. These legal, electoral, and diplomatic developments shape trader assessments of any near-term return.
规则
如果 Flávio Bolsonaro 在市场创建至指定日期 23:59 ET 之间返回巴西，该市场将结算为“是”。否则，本市场将以“否”结算。 “返回”是指 Flávio Bolsonaro 亲自进入巴西的陆地领土。在本市场期间，Bolsonaro 是否进入巴西领空或海域，都不会影响市场以肯定结果结算。 如果确认 Flávio Bolsonaro 在市场创建时身处巴西陆地领土，该市场将结算为“是”。 本市场结算的主要依据将是可信报道形成的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。