- Fetterman会在中期选举前离开民主党吗？<1¢<1%
- Fetterman 会在 2026年12月31日 前退出民主党吗？12¢12%
Senator John Fetterman’s growing distance from Pennsylvania Democrats stems from his consistent support for Israel, criticism of progressive factions, and willingness to work across the aisle with Republicans, including a joint fundraising effort and a September 2026 video appearance at a GOP midterm convention. State and local Democrats have expressed frustration, with polls showing his favorability among registered Democrats dropping sharply while rising among Republicans. Fetterman has repeatedly stated he has no plans to leave the party and no reason to switch, though he has identified an official Democratic shift against Israel as a potential red line. His seat faces a 2028 primary, and the November 2026 midterms could determine whether he becomes a pivotal vote in a narrowly divided Senate.
规则
如果 John Fetterman 在 2026年12月31日 23:59 ET 前正式宣布将离开民主党，或正式离开民主党，则该市场将结算为“是”。否则，此市场将判定为“否”。 Fetterman 宣布将加入共和党、成为独立人士、加入其他政党，或以其他方式不再是民主党成员，均符合条件。可信报道普遍认定 Fetterman 已正式退出民主党，也足以作为判定依据。 批评民主党、与共和党人投票一致、支持共和党候选人、称自己是两党合作派或思想独立，或表达对民主党立场的不同意见，均不符合条件；除非同时有正式声明宣布退出民主党，或可信报道普遍认定他已正式退出民主党。 本市场判定的主要来源为 John Fetterman 的官方信息；但也可采用可信报道普遍认定的信息。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。