- 2026年欧元区年度GDP增长率会低于0%吗？2¢
- 2026年欧元区年度GDP增长率会在4.0%到5.0%之间吗？1¢
- 2026年欧元区年度GDP增长率是否将至少达到7.0%？<1¢
- 2026年欧元区年度GDP增长率会在0%至1.0%之间吗？50¢
- 2026年欧元区年度GDP增速会在1.0%到2.0%之间吗？48¢
- 欧元区2026年年度GDP增速会在5.0%到6.0%之间吗？<1¢
- 2026年欧元区年度GDP增长率会在2.0%到3.0%之间吗？<1¢
- 2026年欧元区年度GDP增长率会在6.0%到7.0%之间吗？<1¢
- 2026年欧元区年度GDP增长率会在3.0%到4.0%之间吗？<1¢
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027. The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecasts for euro area real GDP growth in 2026 cluster around 0.6–0.9 percent following repeated downward revisions tied to the Middle East conflict and associated energy-price shock. The June 2026 Eurosystem staff projections and September bank surveys both center near 0.8 percent, while the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters places the median at 0.6 percent after a 0.4 percentage-point cut. Resilient quarterly outturns, including 0.4 percent q/q expansion in Q2, support the higher end of trader-implied ranges, yet persistent inflation above 3 percent and potential further ECB rate hikes weigh on domestic demand. This narrow contest between the 0–1.0 percent and 1.0–2.0 percent brackets captures uncertainty over whether energy-driven headwinds will keep annual growth below 1 percent or allow a modest rebound.