- 埃隆·马斯克会在2026年9月10日至9月12日期间发布少于40条推文吗？20¢
- 埃隆·马斯克会在2026年9月10日至9月12日期间发布40-64条推文吗？46¢
- 埃隆·马斯克会在2026年9月10日至9月12日期间发布90到114条推文吗？7¢
- 埃隆·马斯克在2026年9月10日至9月12日期间会发115到139条推文吗？<1¢
- 埃隆·马斯克在2026年9月10日至9月12日期间会发140到164条推文吗？<1¢
- 埃隆·马斯克会在2026年9月10日至9月12日期间发布215到239条推文吗？<1¢
- 伊隆·马斯克会在2026年9月10日至9月12日期间发推240条及以上吗？<1¢
- 埃隆·马斯克在2026年9月10日至9月12日期间会发65-89条推文吗？26¢
- 埃隆·马斯克会在2026年9月10日至9月12日期间发布165-189条推文吗？<1¢
- 埃隆·马斯克在2026年9月10日至9月12日期间会发布190-214条推文吗？<1¢
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 10 12:00 PM ET to September 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trader consensus on Elon Musk’s tweet volume for September 10–12, 2026, centers on the 40–64 bracket at 46% implied probability, followed by 65–89 at 25.5% and sub-40 at 20%. This positioning reflects recent weekly settlements showing a shift toward moderate output after August’s elevated 880–919 monthly total, with early September periods resolving in lower brackets such as <40 and 65–89. Musk’s posting pace has fluctuated with platform updates, Grok-related activity, and commentary on X usage trends, but no dominant catalyst—such as major product launches, political developments, or company news—has emerged to drive sustained high-volume days in the immediate term. Short three-day windows like this one historically align with steadier daily rates around 13–30 posts when external events remain quiet, supporting the market’s lean toward the 40–64 range while leaving room for upside if late-week engagement spikes. Traders are pricing in the inherent variability of celebrity and platform-driven posting rather than assuming continued August-level intensity.