- 埃隆·马斯克将在2026年10月24日至10月26日期间发推少于40条吗？3¢3%
- 埃隆·马斯克在2026年10月24日至10月26日期间会发40至64条推文吗？34¢34%
- 埃隆·马斯克会在2026年10月24日至10月26日期间发布65-89条推文吗？40¢40%
- 埃隆·马斯克会在2026年10月24日至10月26日期间发布90-114条推文吗？18¢18%
- 埃隆·马斯克会在2026年10月24日至10月26日期间发出115-139条推文吗？6¢6%
- 埃隆·马斯克在2026年10月24日至10月26日期间会发布140到164条推文吗？<1¢<1%
- 埃隆·马斯克将在2026年10月24日至10月26日期间发布165-189条推文吗？<1¢<1%
- 埃隆·马斯克将在2026年10月24日至10月26日期间发布190-214条推文吗？<1¢<1%
- 伊隆·马斯克在2026年10月24日至10月26日期间会发布215-239条推文吗？<1¢<1%
- 埃隆·马斯克会在2026年10月24日至10月26日期间发布240条以上推文吗？<1¢<1%
Trader sentiment reflects Elon Musk’s historically variable posting patterns on X, where daily volumes often fluctuate between 15 and 30 tweets depending on Tesla and xAI developments, regulatory updates, and real-time cultural commentary. The near-even split between the 40-64 and 65-89 ranges captures this inconsistency, with traders weighing steady baseline activity against potential spikes from company milestones or news cycles. Differentiating factors include the timing of any late-October announcements or public appearances, which historically elevate output, versus quieter stretches aligned with routine operations. The tight contest highlights how skin-in-the-game consensus accounts for both established rhythms and the inherent unpredictability of high-profile digital engagement.
规则
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 24 12:00 PM ET to October 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.