- 埃隆将在2026年9月发推840-879次吗？100¢100%
- 埃隆在2026年9月会发推880-919次吗？0¢0%
- 埃隆会在2026年9月发推800到839次吗？0¢0%
- 埃隆会在2026年9月发推特920到959次吗？0¢0%
- 埃隆会在2026年9月发推960到999次吗？0¢0%
- 埃隆会在2026年9月发推760-799次吗？0¢0%
- 埃隆会在2026年9月发布1000-1039条推文吗？0¢0%
- 埃隆会在2026年9月发推720-759次吗？0¢0%
- 伊隆会在2026年9月发推680到719次吗？0¢0%
- 埃隆会在2026年9月发推1040-1079次吗？0¢0%
- 埃隆会在2026年9月发推640-679次吗？0¢0%
- 埃隆会在2026年9月发推1400次或以上吗？0¢0%
The verified tweet count from Elon Musk's X account for September 2026 landed squarely in the 840-879 range, driving the overwhelming market consensus at 100% implied probability. With the month concluded on October 1, real-time tracking of his activity—factoring in his typical daily volume, promotional posts for xAI and Tesla, and responses to major news—aligned precisely with this bin, leaving little room for variance. Traders betting on higher ranges like 880+ or lower saw their positions collapse as the data locked in. An upset would require an unexpected recount, platform data revision, or inclusion of deleted posts, scenarios that remain highly improbable given X's public archive and established counting methods used by market participants.
规则
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk) posts on X during the month of September 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.