- 民主党会赢得众议院中属于 CT-01 的席位吗？97¢97%
- 共和党会赢得 CT-01 的众议院席位吗？1¢1%
Luke Bronin holds a commanding lead in Connecticut's 1st Congressional District because the open seat favors the Democratic nominee in a district long rated solid or safe Democratic by forecasters. Bronin defeated longtime incumbent John Larson in the August primary and enters the November 3 general with substantial name recognition from his eight years as Hartford mayor, nearly $3.7 million raised, and endorsements that reinforce his position in the Hartford-centered area. Republican nominee Amy Chai, a physician running without prior elected experience in the district, trails sharply in fundraising at roughly $21,000 and faces structural challenges including her residence outside the district boundaries. A debate on October 22 and ongoing early voting through November 1 offer limited opportunities for shifts, while historical partisan margins and low Republican resources make significant movement unlikely absent major unforeseen developments such as a late scandal or national political realignment.
规则
本市场将根据在 2026 年中期选举中赢得美国众议院 CT-01 国会选区席位的候选人所属政党进行结算。中期选举将于 2026年11月3日 举行。 候选人的政党归属，将以该候选人在本市场的结算信息来源明确判定 2026 年所有众议院选举结果时，在选票上列明或以其他方式可确认的政党隶属关系为准。如果候选人的选票上未注明其属于民主党或共和党，则将在本市场的判定来源最终确认所有众议院选举结果之时，根据候选人最近一次表示有意与之组成党团的政党，将其视为该两党之一的成员。 本市场将根据可信报道所形成的共识所表明的选举结果进行结算。如存在歧义，本市场将仅依据美国政府公布的官方结果进行判定，具体以Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/)公布的结果为准。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。