- 苹果在“惊喜闪耀”发布会上宣布可折叠iPhone？93¢
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release a foldable iPhone during the "Surprise and Shine" event currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify. Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone. If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Apple’s official confirmation of its “Surprise and Shine” event for September 9 at Apple Park has anchored the 90.2% market-implied odds for a foldable iPhone announcement. Multiple supply-chain reports and credible outlets, including Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman, indicate the device—widely expected as the book-style iPhone Ultra with a roughly 5.5-inch outer screen and 7.8-inch inner display—will join the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max on stage. Recent coverage highlights a titanium frame, near crease-free OLED, side-button Touch ID, and pricing above $2,000, with no major production delays surfacing in the past week. The incoming CEO transition and shift away from a standard iPhone 18 model further underscore the event’s focus on premium, form-factor innovations. While last-minute schedule changes remain theoretically possible, the alignment of official invites, consistent analyst updates, and software hints in iOS 27 leaves little room for surprise omissions.