- Chang Chia-chun 會贏得下一屆雲林縣長選舉嗎？84¢84%
- Liu Chien-kuo 會贏得下一屆雲林縣長選舉嗎？16¢16%
Chang Chia-chun of the Kuomintang holds a strong lead in trader pricing for the November 28, 2026, Yunlin County Magistrate election, reflecting her established local family network, prior legislative experience, and continuity with the incumbent KMT administration. Liu Chien-kuo of the Democratic Progressive Party trails notably, despite high-profile central party mobilization including President Lai Ching-te chairing his campaign headquarters and former magistrate Su Chih-fen serving in a supervisory role. Both candidates have emphasized agriculture modernization, youth retention, and medical resources during recent registrations and policy events. Minor independent entrants and other listed options register minimal market interest. The implied probabilities align with Yunlin’s recent electoral patterns favoring KMT organizational strength in this agricultural county, while scheduled late-campaign developments such as debates or turnout shifts could still influence final results.
規則
台灣地方選舉預定於2026年11月28日舉行。 本市場將根據此次選舉後成為雲林縣下一任縣長的候選人來結算。 選舉前任命的臨時、過渡或代理縣長將不予考慮。 如果截至 2027年6月30日 下午11:59 ET，此次選舉結果仍未公布，或尚未選出任何候選人，本市場將以「其他」結算。 本市場將依據可信報導的共識所顯示的選舉結果結算。如有歧義，本市場將僅依據台灣政府公布的官方結果結算，具體而言是中央選舉委員會（https://db.cec.gov.tw/）公布的結果。
機器翻譯。如有爭議，以原文為準。