- Nelson Pohl 會在 2026 年 Yorkton—Melville 補選中勝出嗎？96¢96%
- Aaron Kienle 會在 2026 年 Yorkton—Melville 補選中勝出嗎？3¢3%
- Michaela Krakowetz 會在 2026 年 Yorkton—Melville 補選中勝出嗎？1¢1%
Nelson Pohl holds a commanding position in the Yorkton—Melville by-election market, set for December 7, 2026, owing to the riding's entrenched Conservative support, which delivered 77 percent of the vote in 2025. Pohl secured the Conservative nomination in June following Cathay Wagantall's August resignation, giving him months to consolidate local networks as a Yorkton-area farmer and small business owner. Aaron Kienle, the Liberal candidate and Yorkton mayor, entered only in late October, while NDP and Green nominees face structural barriers in this rural Saskatchewan district. The short five-week campaign further limits opportunities for opposition gains. Scenarios that could alter outcomes include an unanticipated national swing toward the Liberals under Mark Carney, unusually high opposition turnout, or late developments affecting voter sentiment before polls close.
規則
加拿大聯邦選區 Yorkton—Melville 的補選目前預定於 2026年12月7日 舉行。 此市場將根據贏得 2026 年 Yorkton—Melville 補選的候選人進行結算。 如果截至 2026年12月31日 下午11:59 ET 尚未確切得知選舉結果，此市場將結算為「其他」。 此市場的結算來源將是可信報導的共識。如有任何疑義，此市場將僅根據 Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/) 公布的官方選舉結果進行結算。
機器翻譯。如有爭議，以原文為準。