- Lin Kuo-chang 會贏得下一屆宜蘭縣縣長選舉嗎？66¢66%
- Wu Tsung-hsien 會贏得下一屆宜蘭縣縣長選舉嗎？35¢35%
- Chen Wan-hui 會贏得下一屆宜蘭縣縣長選舉嗎？2¢2%
- Chang Sheng-te 會贏得下一屆宜蘭縣縣長選舉嗎？1¢1%
Lin Kuo-chang, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee, holds the leading position in trader assessments for the November 28, 2026, Yilan County magistrate election due to consistent polling advantages and high-level party mobilization. Recent campaign headquarters openings in southern Yilan drew direct endorsements from President Lai Ching-te, who pledged central government backing on infrastructure and development priorities. The opposition alliance consolidated behind Kuomintang legislator Wu Tsung-hsien following a May joint poll, reducing vote-splitting risks with former TPP figures like Chen Wan-hui, yet head-to-head surveys continue to show Lin ahead by narrow margins. Independent candidates and minor contenders register minimal support. Anti-bribery enforcement by local prosecutors and ongoing grassroots outreach by both sides sustain the competitive dynamics, with voter turnout in key townships and last-minute alliance signals likely to influence final separation among the main contenders.
規則
台灣地方選舉預定於2026年11月28日舉行。 此市場將根據在此次選舉中勝出、成為下一任宜蘭縣長的候選人來結算。 選舉前任命的臨時、過渡或代理縣長將不予考慮。 如果截至 2027年6月30日 下午11:59 ET，此次選舉結果仍未公布，或尚未選出任何候選人，本市場將以「其他」結算。 本市場將依據可信報導的共識所顯示的選舉結果結算。如有歧義，本市場將僅依據台灣政府公布的官方結果結算，具體而言是中央選舉委員會（https://db.cec.gov.tw/）公布的結果。
機器翻譯。如有爭議，以原文為準。