This market refers to the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Kamilla Rakhimova in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aryna Sabalenka' if Aryna Sabalenka advances against Kamilla Rakhimova. This market will resolve to 'Kamilla Rakhimova' if Kamilla Rakhimova advances against Aryna Sabalenka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Aryna Sabalenka enters the US Open third-round matchup as the clear favorite, riding dominant early-tournament form after a mid-season slump, including a 6-1, 6-1 win over Polina Iatcenko that extended her 16-match winning streak at Flushing Meadows. The world No. 1 and two-time defending champion holds a perfect 3-0 head-to-head record against Kamilla Rakhimova, highlighted by a 6-1, 6-0 victory at the 2025 French Open, with her superior serving, baseline power, and hard-court experience creating a significant edge on the fast surface. Rakhimova, ranked around No. 92 with more modest recent results, must extend rallies and disrupt rhythm to stay competitive, though her lower ranking and limited success against top opponents limit realistic upset chances absent any late changes to Sabalenka’s physical condition.