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The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Carlos Alcaraz leads the 2026 US Open winner market at 30.5% as the defending champion returning from a four-month right wrist injury absence, with Jannik Sinner’s knee withdrawal removing the dominant world No. 1 and reshaping the draw. Alexander Zverev sits at 19.7% after capturing the French Open title and reaching the Wimbledon final, backed by consistent recent major results and favorable hard-court seeding. Novak Djokovic holds 10.8% on veteran experience despite physical concerns at age 39, while rising talents Ben Shelton (7.4%), Arthur Fils (6.9%), and Taylor Fritz (5.5%) reflect strong 2026 form and ranking gains. These implied probabilities capture trader consensus on recent slam outcomes, injury timelines, and pre-tournament rankings updates.