- 下一任當選的美國總統會是女性嗎？25¢25%
Early polling and prediction markets position Republican Vice President JD Vance as the leading 2028 contender, while the Democratic field remains fluid among Kamala Harris, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Gavin Newsom, and Pete Buttigieg. Several prominent women have signaled limited interest, including Gretchen Whitmer softening or stepping back from a bid and Nikki Haley confirming she will not run. The 2024 general election result has heightened trader focus on electability concerns for female nominees in both parties. No major candidates have declared, leaving room for shifts ahead of the 2026 midterms and formal primary contests, yet current dynamics sustain the elevated probability assigned to a male winner.
規則
2028 年美國總統選舉預定於 2028年11月7日 舉行。 如果贏得 2028 年美國總統大選的人是女性，此市場將判定為「是」。否則，此市場將判定為「否」。 此市場的判定來源為 Associated Press、Fox News 和 NBC。三個來源都宣布同一位候選人勝選後，本市場即會結算。如果截至就職日（2029年1月20日），三個來源仍未宣布同一位候選人勝選，本市場將依據實際宣誓就職的人選結算。
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