- 2028 年共和黨總統候選人會是女性嗎？8¢8%
The prominent Republican figures positioned for 2028 contention, including vice presidential and gubernatorial leaders who gained visibility in recent cycles, are overwhelmingly male, underpinning trader consensus at 96.5% for No. Party nomination patterns have historically favored established male candidates with strong primary performance and donor networks, and no major female contender has consolidated comparable early support or endorsements since the prior election. This dynamic sustains high implied probability absent a sudden shift. A late surge by a female senator or governor, unexpected primary volatility, or changes in eligibility rules remain the main variables that could still move the outcome before convention delegates decide.
規則
如果贏得並接受共和黨 2028 年美國總統候選人提名的人是女性，則此市場將以「是」結算。否則，此市場將判定為「否」。 此市場的結算依據將是共和黨官方消息來源的一致共識。 在選舉日之前更換共和黨提名人，不會改變此市場的結算結果。
機器翻譯。如有爭議，以原文為準。