- Taylor Swift 會在 2026 年發行「Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)」嗎？43¢43%
Taylor Swift’s completed re-recording of her 2006 self-titled debut sits ready but unreleased as of mid-October 2026, supporting the 60% market-implied probability against a 2026 drop. In her May 2025 letter confirming ownership of the original masters, Swift described the project as finished and enjoyable yet emphasized no fixed timetable, framing any future release as a celebratory choice rather than a necessity. Momentum has stayed with her 2025 album The Life of a Showgirl and its September 2026 Encore edition, which dominated the Billboard 200 with new tracks and variants. The 20th anniversary on October 24 passed amid fan speculation tied to green imagery and website clues without confirmation, while Reputation’s re-recording remains under 25% complete. Traders see limited near-term catalysts before year-end, given Swift’s focus on current catalog extensions and the reduced urgency after regaining full rights.
規則
如果 Taylor Swift 在 2026年12月31日 下午11:59 PT（洛杉磯時間）前發行其首張專輯《Taylor Swift》的重新錄製版本，此市場將判定為「是」。否則，此市場將以「否」結算。 「正式發行」是指新發行的專輯在判定日期前已正式提供下載或串流（不包括現場活動）。 符合資格的專輯必須在標題中包含某種形式的「Taylor's Version」標示，或由 Taylor Swift 確認是相關專輯的重新錄製版本。除專輯《Taylor Swift》以外的專輯之「Taylor's Version」重新錄製版本，不符合本市場判定為「是」的條件。 判定來源為任何官方串流或下載網站，例如 Apple Music 或 Spotify。
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