- Reza Pahlavi 會在 12月31日 前進入伊朗嗎？2¢2%
Reza Pahlavi remains in exile and has stated he is prepared to return to Iran at the first opportunity to support a democratic transition, without seeking to restore the monarchy. As of early November 2026, he is conducting meetings in Brussels with European Parliament members and officials to discuss sanctions, internet access, and support for Iranian protesters amid ongoing executions and unrest. His outreach includes urging security forces to defect and promoting a national cooperation campaign from abroad. Regime control over borders and institutions, combined with limited international consensus on regime change, continues to constrain any near-term entry. Upcoming European engagements and potential shifts in U.S. or EU policy represent the main variables that could alter timelines for a safe return.
規則
如果 Reza Pahlavi 在市場建立後、2026年12月31日 下午11:59 ET 之前造訪伊朗，則此市場將判定為「是」。否則，此市場將以「否」結算。 就本市場而言，「造訪」是指 Reza Pahlavi 親自進入伊朗的陸地領土。在本市場的時間範圍內，Reza Pahlavi 是否進入伊朗領空或海域，均不影響市場判定為正向結果。 此市場結算的主要依據將是可信報導所形成的共識。
機器翻譯。如有爭議，以原文為準。