- Pete Hegseth 到 12月31日 前會不再擔任國防部長嗎？54¢54%
Recent Republican midterm losses, widely attributed to public backlash against the Iran war that Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth strongly supported, have intensified scrutiny of his position. President Trump publicly affirmed confidence in Hegseth on November 4, stating he is performing well and rejecting immediate replacement, yet multiple reports indicate advisers are weighing him as a potential scapegoat before Democrats assume congressional majorities in January. Republican Rep. Thomas Massie continues advancing impeachment articles over war authorization, with a House vote possible in the lame-duck session, while Democrats prepare investigations into Pentagon decisions and personnel actions. Hegseth’s team maintains full commitment through the current term, but the narrow window to December 31 and mixed signals from the administration sustain balanced trader assessments of removal odds.
規則
如果 Pete Hegseth 在市場建立至指定日期（ET）之間的任何一段時間不再擔任美國國防部長，本市場將以「是」結算。否則，此市場將判定為「否」。 若在本市場結束日期之前宣布 Pete Hegseth 辭職或被免職，本市場將立即以 「是」 結算，不論宣布的辭職或免職何時生效。 本市場的結算依據將是 Pete Hegseth 和美國政府的官方資訊；不過，也可以採用可信新聞報導所形成的共識。
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