- Lula 會在 12月31日 前宣布提名一位人選擔任巴西聯邦最高法院法官嗎？88¢88%
Lula's re-election on October 25, 2026, has strengthened his negotiating position for filling the long-vacant STF seat left by Luís Roberto Barroso's 2025 retirement. Recent reporting highlights active talks with Senate President Davi Alcolumbre to advance a nomination, potentially of former Senate President Rodrigo Pacheco, in November before the new legislative session begins in February 2027. This timing aims to avoid a more conservative Senate bloc. Lula's earlier nomination of Jorge Messias was rejected by the Senate in April 2026, marking the first such defeat in over a century. Additional STF vacancies are expected through 2030 due to compulsory retirements of ministers including Luiz Fux, Cármen Lúcia, and Gilmar Mendes. These dynamics, combined with Lula's mandate to shape the court, center trader attention on near-term announcement prospects amid Senate confirmation requirements.
規則
若巴西總統 Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva（Lula）在所列日期的 下午11:59 巴西利亞時間前，提名一人擔任巴西最高聯邦法院（Supremo Tribunal Federal）部長（Ministro），此市場將判定為「是」。否則，此市場將以「否」結算。 只要 Lula 或巴西共和國總統府（Presidência da República）發布聲明，表示 Lula 已提名一人擔任最高聯邦法院部長，即足以判定此市場，無論是否確實進行了正式提名。 符合資格的聲明必須明確將相關人士列為最高聯邦法院部長的提名人。代理或臨時任命的公告、表示未來有意提名某人的公告，或僅透露潛在人選的公告，均不符合資格。媒體報導、猜測或其他非官方資訊均不符合資格。 總統正式提名一人擔任最高聯邦法院部長，也足以判定此市場。正式提名係指向聯邦參議院議長（presidente do Senado Federal）提交提名公文。 此市場的主要判定依據為巴西共和國總統府的官方資訊（https://www.gov.br/planalto）；但也可採用可信報導所形成的共識。
機器翻譯。如有爭議，以原文為準。