Lionel Messi's retirement from Argentina's national team in late August 2026, following the 2026 World Cup final loss to Spain, stands as the dominant factor behind the strong trader consensus against his participation in the 2028 Copa América. At age 39 during that tournament and set to turn 41 by the 2028 edition, Messi ended a record 207-cap international career that included two Copa América titles (2021, 2024) and the 2022 World Cup. Argentine Football Association president Claudio Tapia emphasized the decision rests entirely with the player, with no institutional pressure applied. While Messi continues with Inter Miami through 2028, the confirmed international retirement removes any realistic path to selection for the next CONMEBOL tournament unless he reverses course.
如果 Lionel Messi 在 2028 年美洲盃中至少代表 Argentina 出賽一場,本市場將判定為「是」。否則,此市場將以「否」結算。 出賽是指以先發或替補身分上場,不論上場時間長短。僅被列入球隊名單或坐在替補席上、但未上場,不算出賽。 如果 Argentina 未參加 2028 年美洲盃,本市場將判定為「否」。 如果 2028 年美洲盃取消、延期至 2028年8月1日, 下午11:59 ET 之後,或 Messi 未在該時段內於賽事中出賽,本市場將判定為「否」。 本市場的判定依據將是 CONMEBOL 的官方資訊;但也可採用可信報導所形成的共識。
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