- 伊朗會在2027年之前退出《不擴散核武器條約》嗎？8¢8%
Iran's official stance continues to affirm membership in the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, with Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi stating on November 1 that Tehran upholds its commitments under the treaty. While parliament has registered at least ten withdrawal proposals since late October and figures including Mohsen Rezaei have described the country's future status as uncertain amid IAEA disputes and recent conflicts, senior officials have indicated that leaving is not an immediate priority. These developments, alongside ongoing diplomatic mediation efforts, have reinforced trader consensus that formal withdrawal before 2027 remains unlikely given the required legislative and leadership approvals.
規則
如果伊朗伊斯蘭共和國於 2026年12月31日 下午11:59 ET 前，依據《不擴散核武器條約》（NPT）第十條，正式通知聯合國其退出該條約的決定，此市場將判定為「是」。否則，此市場將以「否」結算。 要符合條件，伊朗政府必須發布正式書面通知，明確聲明其有意依據 NPT 第十條退出該條約。 此市場的判定依據將是可信報導的共識。
機器翻譯。如有爭議，以原文為準。