Francis Ngannou’s 94.5% “No” probability stems primarily from the enduring rift with UFC president Dana White, who in September 2026 publicly ruled out any future business dealings and labeled the former heavyweight champion a “bad guy” following their 2023 contract impasse. Ngannou, now 40, has competed sparingly in MMA since leaving the UFC as champion, with his sole PFL appearance a 2024 knockout of Renan Ferreira before parting ways with the promotion in March 2026 to pursue boxing bouts against Tyson Fury and Anthony Joshua. No reconciliation signals have emerged, and White’s stance remains unchanged amid Ngannou’s free-agent status and focus on non-UFC opportunities. The short window to December 31, 2026, further limits any realistic path back into the Octagon.
如果 Francis Ngannou 在 2026年12月31日 下午11:59 ET 前正式參加 UFC 賽事,此市場將判定為「是」。否則,此市場將以「否」結算。 賽事公告、簽署 UFC 合約,或參加任何形式的表演賽,均不符合此市場的判定條件。只有 Ngannou 正式參加由 UFC 認可的官方賽事,才會計入「是」的判定。 此市場的判定依據為 UFC 官方資訊;但也可以採用可信報導所形成的共識。
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