- Elon 會在 2027 年之前註冊任何政黨嗎？5¢5%
Elon Musk’s sustained inaction since announcing the America Party in July 2025 underpins the 95.5% trader consensus against formal registration of any party by December 31, 2026. Multiple credible reports confirm he has taken no verifiable steps with the FEC or state authorities, instead directing over $276 million into Republican super PACs and midterm efforts while publicly re-engaging with GOP figures. Structural barriers to viable third-party formation, combined with the absence of any recent filings or outreach, reinforce expectations of continued independence without party affiliation. Late developments such as a sudden strategic pivot or electoral candidacy could still alter the outcome before year-end, though none appear imminent.
規則
如果 Elon Musk 在 2026年12月31日 下午11:59 ET 前於美國正式註冊一個政黨，此市場將以「是」結算。否則，此市場將以「否」結算。 登記必須向相關州或聯邦選舉主管機關辦理，且必須有可信媒體機構的共識報導其已完成登記。
機器翻譯。如有爭議，以原文為準。