- 國會會在 2026 年推翻任何否決案嗎？15¢15%
Unified Republican control of the White House and both chambers of Congress has produced few vetoes, all sustained through party discipline, as seen in the January 2026 House votes that fell short of the two-thirds threshold on infrastructure measures. With narrow GOP majorities and limited legislative confrontation, broad bipartisan coalitions needed for overrides remain absent. Midterm forecasts point to possible Democratic gains in November, yet any shift would affect only the final weeks of 2026 or the subsequent Congress, and historical patterns show overrides are rare absent divided government. Traders reflect this consensus in the elevated implied probability for no successful override by year-end.
規則
如果美國國會在 2026年12月31日 下午11:59 ET 前推翻總統的否決，這個市場將結算為 Yes。否則，這個市場將結算為「否」。 僅由國會其中一院通過推翻否決案，不足以使這個市場結算為「是」。 結算依據將是美國聯邦政府的官方出版物（例如 Congress.gov）；不過，也可以採用可信報導所形成的共識。
機器翻譯。如有爭議，以原文為準。