- 到2026年9月30日，是否會有任何AI模型達到1510的總體競技場分數？100¢
- 到2026年9月30日，是否會有任何AI模型達到1520的整體競技場分數？100¢
- 會有任何人工智慧模型在2026年9月30日前達到1530的總體競技場分數嗎？100¢
- 會有任何AI模型在2026年9月30日前達到1540的總體競技場分數嗎？0¢
- 到2026年9月30日，是否會有任何AI模型達到1550的整體競技場分數？0¢
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".