Strong critical acclaim and an above-expectation $12.3 million opening have anchored trader consensus around a 7m-9m second weekend for Wildwood, with the market pricing that range at 58.1% implied probability. The Laika stop-motion fantasy earned near-perfect Rotten Tomatoes scores and an A CinemaScore despite its PG-13 rating and $100 million budget, yet faced stiff competition from Clayface and You Can See Everything, limiting broader family turnout. Comparable Laika titles and recent original animated releases show modest 35-45% drops in similar slots, aligning with current tracking estimates of roughly $7-8 million. Local sellouts in Portland highlighted niche enthusiasm, but national per-theater averages and early weekday holds point to limited legs. No major new catalysts remain before the weekend close.
This market will resolve according to how much "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day second weekend (October 30 - November 1) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.