- 川普會在2027年之前特赦Stefan Brodie嗎？20¢20%
- 川普會在2027年之前特赦Donald Brodie嗎？16¢16%
- 川普會在2027年之前特赦Ryan Salame嗎？13¢13%
- 川普會在2027年之前特赦Steve Bannon嗎？8¢8%
- 川普會在2027年之前特赦Keonne Rodriguez嗎？8¢8%
- 川普會在2027年之前特赦Matt Gaetz嗎？7¢7%
- 川普會在2027年之前特赦Daniel Penny嗎？6¢6%
- 川普會在2027年之前特赦Elizabeth Holmes嗎？6¢6%
- 川普會在2027年之前特赦Roger Ver嗎？5¢5%
- 川普會在2027年之前特赦Bob Menendez嗎？5¢5%
- 川普會在2027年之前特赦Diddy嗎？5¢5%
- 川普會在 2027 年之前赦免 Joe Exotic「The Tiger King」嗎？5¢5%
Trump has already granted clemency to more than 1,700 individuals since January 2025, including a blanket pardon and commutations for roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants on his first day in office, plus targeted grants to political allies such as Rudy Giuliani, Sidney Powell, and Mark Meadows, along with figures like Changpeng Zhao and George Santos. Recent developments include on-the-spot pardons issued at rallies, signals that administration officials may receive protection before the end of the term, and donor-linked grants that have drawn congressional scrutiny and investigations into influence by cabinet members. Patterns show heavy emphasis on Republican supporters, MAGA-aligned individuals, and cases involving campaign finance or fraud convictions, with restitution often waived. With the 2026 midterms approaching and ongoing reports of applications bypassing traditional DOJ processes, trader focus centers on additional grants to donors, officials, or high-profile cases that could occur before year-end.
規則
如果名單所列個人在 2025年11月17日 至 2026年12月31日、下午11:59 ET 之間獲得 Donald Trump 總統的赦免、減刑或暫緩執行，則此市場將結算為「是」。否則，此市場將以「否」結算。 判定該人士是否獲得特赦的主要依據將是美國政府的官方資訊；不過，也會參考可信報導所形成的共識。
機器翻譯。如有爭議，以原文為準。