- 2026 年會召開梵蒂岡第三次大公會議嗎？10¢10%
Pope Leo XIV’s sustained catechesis series on Vatican II documents has anchored trader sentiment near even odds for a 2026 ecumenical council, signaling a priority on deeper implementation of the prior council rather than launching a new one. Recent family-focused gatherings marking the Amoris Laetitia anniversary and interreligious dialogue documents have fueled speculation about expanded synodal processes, yet official Vatican calendars and statements show no convocation in sight. Key swing factors include any surprise consistory announcements, synod follow-ups, or papal remarks on global church unity that could accelerate momentum—or reinforce the current focus on Vatican II fidelity before year-end deadlines.
規則
如果教宗在市場建立後至 2026年12月31日, 下午11:59 ET 期間召集任何大公會議，本市場將判定為「是」。否則，此市場將以「否」結算。 只有大公會議才符合資格。全體會議或省級會議不予考慮。 本市場將根據教宗、梵蒂岡官員的公告，或可信報導所達成的共識進行判定。任何官方公告均符合資格，不論該會議是否實際舉行，或何時舉行。
機器翻譯。如有爭議，以原文為準。