- 2027 年前加薩會有美軍嗎？4¢4%
U.S. military involvement in Gaza remains limited to coordination and support roles based in Israel, with explicit official statements confirming no American troops will enter the enclave as part of the post-ceasefire stabilization framework. An International Stabilization Force composed of personnel from countries including Morocco and Kosovo has faced repeated delays, including Israeli restrictions on base construction inside Gaza, while U.S. funding and planning have focused on equipment, logistics, and a civil-military center outside the territory. With Israeli elections approaching and reconstruction plans stalled amid ongoing security concerns, the short window before 2027 leaves little scope for a reversal. Shifts could occur only through unforeseen major escalations prompting direct U.S. intervention or abrupt policy changes by the administration and Israeli leadership.
規則
若美國現役正規軍人員在 2026年12月31日 下午11:59 ET 前實際進入加薩，本市場將判定為「是」。 要符合資格，美國軍事人員必須實際進入加薩走廊的陸地領土。進入海域不符合資格；美國於 2024 年試圖建造浮動碼頭時曾進入海域。進入空域也不符合資格。 美國軍事人員進入由以色列控制的緩衝區，不符合資格。 因外交目的進入加薩的美國高階軍職人員（及其隨行人員）、軍事承包商、軍事顧問和特種作戰部隊，均不符合資格。 判定依據將是可信報導所形成的共識。
機器翻譯。如有爭議，以原文為準。