The Trump administration has maintained maximum pressure on Cuba’s energy sector through Executive Order 14404 and related regulations implemented in September 2026, which expanded secondary sanctions, designated CUPET, and authorized tariffs on third-country oil suppliers after Venezuelan shipments ended earlier in the year. US policy permits limited fuel sales only to Cuba’s private sector while blocking state entities, with recent case-by-case humanitarian exceptions such as one Russian tanker delivery explicitly described by the White House as non-precedent-setting. Cuba’s new hydrocarbons law effective October 19 aims to attract foreign investment but does not alter US embargo rules or trigger sanction relief. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers and the absence of any formal easing announcement.
如果唐納·川普或美國聯邦政府在市場建立後至指定日期 下午11:59 ET 之間,正式宣布放寬、暫停、取消或以其他類似方式解除美國對古巴石油、燃料或其他石油產品銷售或運輸相關制裁,此市場將結算為「是」。否則,此市場將判定為「否」。 符合資格的公告必須明確指出,與古巴石油或燃料貿易相關的美國限制、制裁、處罰或處罰威脅將會暫停、減少、解除,或以其他方式實質放寬。 若公告指出美國不會對向古巴出口石油的國家徵收關稅,該公告即符合資格。 只有明確確定的公告才符合資格。建議、談判、表示願意考慮,或其他不確定的聲明均不符合資格。 在本市場時限內發布的任何符合資格公告都會計入,無論公告所述的寬免是否生效,或何時生效。 主要結算來源為唐納·川普和美國聯邦政府的官方資訊;但也可採用可信報導所形成的共識。
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