- 截至 2026年12月31日，烏克蘭會舉行選舉嗎？3¢3%
Ukrainian presidential elections remain postponed under martial law, extended through 31 October 2026, as the constitution prohibits national votes during active hostilities with Russia. Recent U.S. pressure, including public calls for a new leader, prompted President Zelensky to state he would run if elections occur before the war ends and to propose a 60-day ceasefire to enable legislative changes, security arrangements, and voting access for troops and displaced citizens. Russia has rejected limited ceasefires in favor of a comprehensive peace agreement, while polls indicate most Ukrainians oppose wartime voting due to security risks and logistical barriers involving millions of internally displaced persons and refugees abroad. A parliamentary working group continues reviewing election rules, but no new legislation has advanced.
規則
如果烏克蘭在 2025年2月12日 至 2026年12月31日, 下午11:59 ET 之間舉行國會及／或總統選舉，本市場將判定為「是」。否則，此市場將以「否」結算。 本市場取決於烏克蘭是否確實在指定日期內舉行全國選舉。僅僅安排選舉日期，不足以使本市場判定為 「是」。 如果選舉正式安排在本市場時間範圍以外的日期舉行，本市場將立即判定為「否」。 本市場判定的主要依據將是烏克蘭政府的官方資訊，但也會參考可信報導所形成的共識。
機器翻譯。如有爭議，以原文為準。