- 土耳其憲法公投會在 2026 年宣布嗎？17¢17%
President Erdoğan’s October 1, 2026, address to parliament launched preparatory discussions for a new civilian constitution, with top adviser Mehmet Uçum later framing October 1 as the start of intellectual groundwork rather than immediate drafting. Ruling alliance statements and recent comments from Uçum and parliamentary leaders indicate the substantive drafting and any required public vote are targeted for after the 2028 elections, during the next parliamentary term. The ruling bloc lacks the supermajority needed for parliamentary passage without opposition support, and ongoing “Terror-Free Türkiye” talks have not produced a timeline or draft advancing a 2026 referendum. These factors align with trader consensus that no referendum will be formally announced this year.
規則
如果土耳其在 2026年12月31日, 下午11:59 ET 前正式宣布舉行憲法公投，此市場將判定為「是」。否則，此市場將判定為「否」。 憲法公投是指土耳其全國就是否批准一項或多項土耳其憲法修正案所舉行的任何投票。 正式宣布是指宣布公投的具體日期，或明確宣布將舉行公投（例如，憲法修正案在議會通過並由總統提交公投後）。 此市場的主要判定依據為土耳其政府的官方資訊；但也可採用可信報導所形成的共識。
機器翻譯。如有爭議，以原文為準。