- 特朗普會在2026年9月30日前將新墨西哥州更名為新美國嗎？6¢
- 川普會在2026年12月31日前將新墨西哥州重新命名為新美國嗎？11¢
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues any executive order, presidential memorandum, or proclamation, signs any bill into law, or otherwise formally directs the federal government to rename New Mexico to "New America" or any other name including "America" by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A formal Trump administration directive to rename New Mexico, including through the U.S. Board on Geographic Names, will qualify. For the purposes of this market, "rename" includes directing the federal government to use the new name when referring to the state, regardless of whether the state's legal name is changed. Statements, social media posts, or expressions of support for renaming New Mexico will not qualify unless accompanied by a qualifying formal action or directive. This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
President Trump's recent social media posts on September 6-7, 2026, including maps and an AI-generated video suggesting New Mexico be rebranded "New America," have driven attention to the market amid his pattern of directing federal name changes for geographic features such as the Gulf of America and Lake America. Those prior actions relied on executive authority over federal references, but renaming a state requires a New Mexico constitutional amendment approved by the state legislature, a process with no active proposals or support from Democratic state leaders including Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham. The posts coincided with trade negotiations involving Mexico and drew immediate pushback framing the idea as outside federal power. No legislative or procedural steps have advanced, leaving any outcome dependent on improbable state-level developments within the market's timeframe.