The ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict and lack of any scheduled trilateral diplomatic engagement explain the strong trader consensus against Trump, Putin, and Zelensky appearing together before 2027. Recent bilateral channels and indirect negotiations through intermediaries have defined U.S. and European diplomatic efforts, with no official announcements or summit planning indicating a joint appearance. Historical precedent shows direct leader-level meetings among these parties require prior bilateral progress that has not materialized. Late developments such as an unexpected ceasefire breakthrough, hastily convened multilateral forum, or major policy shift in the final months of the resolution window remain the primary scenarios that could still alter the outcome.
如果唐納·川普、弗拉基米爾·普丁和弗拉基米爾·澤連斯基在此市場建立後至 2026年12月31日, 下午11:59 ET 期間,一同出現在同一畫面中,且有照片或影片為證,此市場將判定為「是」。否則,此市場將以「否」結算。 此市場要判定為「是」,照片或影片必須在此市場的時間範圍內拍攝並發布。照片或影片必須是真實的,不能是人工智慧或影片剪輯的產物。 此市場的判定依據將是唐納·川普、弗拉基米爾·普丁和弗拉基米爾·澤連斯基同框的照片或影片。
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