The FIFA World Cup in summer 2026 and the November U.S. midterms stand out as the dominant catalysts shaping 2026 Google search volume for people, driving sustained spikes for athletes like Erling Haaland, Cristiano Ronaldo, and Lionel Messi alongside political figures. High-profile trials such as Lindsay Clancy’s summer proceedings, celebrity deaths including Dolly Parton and Hayden Panettiere in August, and lingering interest in prior-year events continue to influence rankings. Google’s Year in Search list, expected in December, measures relative search growth rather than absolute volume, favoring names with sharp, event-driven surges over consistent baseline interest. Traders should monitor late-year developments like election results or breaking scandals, as these can quickly alter the final top-five composition before resolution.
如果列出的個人名列 Google 2026 年官方全球 Year in Search「人物」清單的前 5 名,此市場將結算為「是」。否則,此市場將以「否」結算。 預計指定名單會顯示在 Google Trends 的 Year in Search 專區,並將地區設為「全球」。建立市場時的導覽方式是前往 trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/,依序點選「全球」→「熱門趨勢」→「人物」。預計 2026 年頁面發布後,會透過相同的導覽方式顯示(目前 2025 年頁面顯示了指定排名)。無論採用哪種導覽方式,此市場都將以指定名單為準進行結算。 2026 年指定名單一經發布,此市場即可進行結算。如果 Google 未能在 2027年3月31日 下午11:59 ET 前發布指定清單,此市場將結算為「否」。 此市場的結算依據為 Google 發布的指定名單。
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