- Chen Ting-fei 會贏得下一屆台南市長選舉嗎？91¢91%
- Hsieh Lung-chieh 會贏得下一屆台南市長選舉嗎？7¢7%
- Lin Yi-feng 會贏得下一屆台南市長選舉嗎？2¢2%
- Lin Chun-hsien 會贏得下一屆台南市長選舉嗎？<1¢<1%
Chen Ting-fei holds a commanding lead in the Tainan mayoral race according to recent polls, with support ratings around 45-59% against Hsieh Lung-chieh’s 22-34%, reflecting her strong Democratic Progressive Party base, higher favorability scores, and momentum as a potential first female mayor. Traders price her victory probability near 91% due to consistent leads across age groups and districts, endorsements from President Lai Ching-te, and active campaigning including street sweeps and policy outreach ahead of the November 28 vote. Minor candidates such as Yeh Jen-wen and Hsiao Lin-hung register negligible support. Late shifts among undecided voters, changes in turnout patterns, or unexpected developments in the final weeks could still alter the outcome in this closely watched local election.
規則
台灣地方選舉預定於2026年11月28日舉行。 本市場將根據此次選舉後成為台南市下一任市長的候選人來結算。 選舉前任命的臨時、過渡或代理市長將不予考慮。 如果截至 2027年6月30日 下午11:59 ET，此次選舉結果仍未公布，或尚未選出任何候選人，本市場將以「其他」結算。 本市場將依據可信報導的共識所顯示的選舉結果結算。如有歧義，本市場將僅依據台灣政府公布的官方結果結算，具體而言是中央選舉委員會（https://db.cec.gov.tw/）公布的結果。
機器翻譯。如有爭議，以原文為準。