- 2026 年期中選舉後，Hakeem Jeffries 會成為首位眾議院議長嗎？94¢94%
- 2026 年期中選舉後，Katherine Clark 會成為首位眾議院議長嗎？3¢3%
- 2026 年期中選舉後，Pete Aguilar 會成為首位眾議院議長嗎？3¢3%
- 2026 年期中選舉後，Jim Jordan 會成為首位眾議院議長嗎？1¢1%
- 2026 年期中選舉後，Steve Scalise 會成為首位眾議院議長嗎？1¢1%
- 2026 年期中選舉後，Mike Johnson 會成為首位眾議院議長嗎？<1¢<1%
Democrats' decisive victory in the 2026 midterm elections, securing a substantial House majority projected near 249 seats, has positioned Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries as the clear consensus choice for speaker when the new Congress convenes in January. Traders reflect this outcome in the elevated pricing for Jeffries, driven by the party's unified caucus support following gains across battleground and Republican-leaning districts. No credible internal challengers have emerged among Democratic leadership, including potential alternatives like Katherine Clark or Pete Aguilar. Limited upside remains for Republican figures such as Jim Jordan or Mike Johnson absent an unforeseen reversal in certified results or a breakdown in party-line voting on the floor.
規則
本市場將根據 2026 年美國期中選舉後，第 120 屆美國國會的美國眾議院選出的第一位眾議院議長作出結算。 主要結算來源將是美國眾議院的官方資訊；但也可採用可信報導所形成的共識。
機器翻譯。如有爭議，以原文為準。